Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.036841 3.200691 3.373668 3.570759 3.790203 4.028331 4.308064
2025-07-20 2.834349 3.067406 3.326216 3.638259 4.008974 4.441658 4.994892
2025-07-27 2.720614 3.010908 3.347694 3.775101 4.315372 4.994530 5.947754
2025-08-03 2.603359 2.933519 3.330567 3.857049 4.560748 5.510368 6.978282
2025-08-10 2.453523 2.800392 3.228520 3.815143 4.634062 5.805492 7.778073
2025-08-17 2.292354 2.639132 3.074784 3.685516 4.565133 5.879532 8.249287
2025-08-24 2.176664 2.526461 2.973374 3.613948 4.565691 6.053428 8.943863
2025-08-31 2.092382 2.447958 2.909818 3.586648 4.624815 6.327330 9.927818
2025-09-07 2.007530 2.363160 2.831084 3.528976 4.627536 6.503320 10.784560
2025-09-14 1.927510 2.280245 2.749250 3.458961 4.600678 6.619437 11.560928
2025-09-21 1.851158 2.198488 2.664149 3.377010 4.544227 6.669031 12.199989
2025-09-28 1.792208 2.137550 2.604765 3.329226 4.539185 6.816826 13.205899
2025-10-05 1.773510 2.134421 2.632254 3.425983 4.811536 7.631472 17.236167
2025-10-12 1.741305 2.111227 2.629746 3.476150 5.011861 8.372236 22.526695
2025-10-19 1.728594 2.114638 2.666448 3.594026 5.363115 9.641983 35.799003
2025-10-26 1.704005 2.099642 2.674252 3.664043 5.634928 10.868785 63.491838
2025-11-02 1.655061 2.047052 2.621172 3.623145 5.666143 11.395453 99.972300
2025-11-09 1.591538 1.970786 2.527691 3.503602 5.508436 11.231398 117.445286
2025-11-16 1.544084 1.916490 2.466212 3.437488 5.463397 11.463388 195.996257
2025-11-23 1.508697 1.878664 2.428779 3.412075 5.508159 12.064186 1350.519579
2025-11-30 1.469597 1.833952 2.378378 3.359148 5.481255 12.381520 NaN
2025-12-07 1.430357 1.787807 2.323824 3.295007 5.419739 12.536107 NaN
2025-12-14 1.390870 1.740190 2.265199 3.219918 5.323466 12.506360 NaN